Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 68.453318 77.289965 86.350958 96.304282 106.899150 117.810324 129.866987
2025-06-08 53.835927 66.347534 79.793604 95.184835 112.188282 130.282799 150.880517
2025-06-15 46.464598 61.123594 77.421311 96.610862 118.332298 141.928540 169.277876
2025-06-22 40.975223 57.186430 75.759095 98.157677 124.022442 152.584762 186.157817
2025-06-29 35.306239 52.356716 72.487296 97.332609 126.563516 159.330639 198.332666
2025-07-06 29.869545 47.238083 68.392324 95.109555 127.115948 163.506463 207.328725
2025-07-13 27.951910 46.333907 69.226307 98.603647 134.229015 175.116558 224.730070
2025-07-20 25.667633 44.715097 68.989954 100.646838 139.502986 184.508657 239.520525
2025-07-27 22.641617 41.817510 66.914141 100.237172 141.682911 190.164186 249.888480
2025-08-03 19.819754 38.938324 64.655966 99.424156 143.230794 194.963268 259.167575
2025-08-10 17.835609 37.075473 63.598394 100.019519 146.416276 201.645386 270.611983
2025-08-17 15.665345 34.727177 61.731180 99.443884 148.049242 206.390876 279.709154
2025-08-24 13.966014 32.970579 60.603520 99.802543 150.861537 212.607335 290.643250
2025-08-31 12.010417 30.599584 58.471261 98.721725 151.776456 216.467322 298.732689
2025-09-07 10.961898 29.625691 58.264785 100.168232 155.875466 224.200039 311.465787
2025-09-14 10.046684 28.785171 58.190419 101.749714 160.120195 232.099041 324.399486
2025-09-21 8.632519 26.879500 56.416990 100.906796 161.155319 235.978161 332.424722
2025-09-28 7.065841 24.458201 53.706083 98.636115 160.227939 237.341163 337.326217
2025-10-05 6.857933 24.702367 55.131499 102.204924 167.011599 248.378288 354.092514
2025-10-12 6.372922 24.317814 55.530483 104.291302 171.819705 256.932307 367.821081
2025-10-19 5.471381 22.918785 54.225740 103.873006 173.246704 261.193223 376.249201
2025-10-26 4.599647 21.431534 52.684541 103.042821 174.070676 264.655250 383.666890
2025-11-02 4.041668 20.581941 52.149402 103.650762 176.813870 270.547677 394.092754